National League North | Gameweek 18
Nov 8, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium

Gloucester City
0 - 1
Buxton

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gilchrist (53')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gloucester City

All competitions
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Merthyr Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawBuxton
39.57% (-0.139 -0.14)25.71% (0.030999999999999 0.03)34.71% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.01% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (-0.115 -0.12)49.09% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (-0.103 -0.1)71.16% (0.108 0.11)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.122 -0.12)24.45% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)58.89% (0.181 0.18)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (0.013999999999996 0.01)27.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 39.57%
    Buxton 34.71%
    Draw 25.71%
Gloucester CityDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 39.57%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.66% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.71%

rhs 2.0


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