National League North | Gameweek 19
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium

Gloucester City
2 - 3
Scarborough Ath

Mitford (4', 63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tear (10'), Colville (77'), Maloney (88')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gloucester City

All competitions
Last Game: Gloucester City 0-1 Buxton
Tuesday, November 8 at 8.15pm in National League North

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 3-3 King's Lynn
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawScarborough Athletic
43.29% (-1.739 -1.74)24.76% (0.172 0.17)31.95% (1.565 1.57)
Both teams to score 57.47% (0.185 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)45.54% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.13% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)67.87% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (-0.813 -0.81)21.09% (0.811 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (-1.278 -1.28)53.92% (1.276 1.28)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (0.97399999999999 0.97)27.17% (-0.977 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (1.253 1.25)62.57% (-1.256 -1.26)
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 43.29%
    Scarborough Athletic 31.95%
    Draw 24.75%
Gloucester CityDrawScarborough Athletic
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.264 -0.26)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.253 0.25)
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.231 0.23)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.278 0.28)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.195 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.091 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.175 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.95%