Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.