National League North | Gameweek 27
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
2 - 1
Buxton

Hancock (53', 54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boden (19')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
Last Game: Southport 2-1 Curzon Ashton
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-0 Alfreton
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawBuxton
46.14% (0.212 0.21)25.92% (-0.067 -0.07)27.93% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 51.43% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.6% (0.183 0.18)52.4% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92% (0.158 0.16)74.08% (-0.16 -0.16)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (0.176 0.18)22.67% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (0.262 0.26)56.32% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)33.48% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)70.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 46.14%
    Buxton 27.93%
    Draw 25.92%
Curzon AshtonDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 46.14%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.59% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 27.93%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Buxton
1-0
Curzon Ashton
De Girolamo (71' pen.)