National League North | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
2 - 1
Curzon Ashton

Archer (22', 38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Walker (62')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 Southport
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 Southport
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.

Result
SouthportDrawCurzon Ashton
53.74% (0.033000000000001 0.03)24.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)22.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.78% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74% (0.063000000000002 0.06)49.25% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (0.056000000000001 0.06)71.31% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.036999999999992 0.04)18.25% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.71% (0.061 0.06)49.29% (-0.058 -0.06)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (0.021999999999998 0.02)36.66% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (0.024000000000001 0.02)73.45% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Southport 53.74%
    Curzon Ashton 22.25%
    Draw 24.01%
SouthportDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.51% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 53.74%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 22.25%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Curzon Ashton
1-1
Southport
Barton (65')
Watson (27')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Southport
0-0
Curzon Ashton
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Curzon Ashton
0-0
Southport

Dunn (65')
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Curzon Ashton
P-P
Southport
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Southport
2-2
Curzon Ashton
Carver (18'), Woods (74')
Flowers (72'), Cowan (90+2')