National League North | Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
1 - 1
Scarborough Ath

Hmami (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tear (13')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kettering 0-0 Southport
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-3 Chester
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawScarborough Athletic
48.17% (6.469 6.47)23.63% (-1.115 -1.12)28.2% (-5.356 -5.36)
Both teams to score 59.14% (1.052 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.63% (2.616 2.62)42.36% (-2.616 -2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.23% (2.564 2.56)64.77% (-2.566 -2.57)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (3.826 3.83)17.77% (-3.827 -3.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.53% (6.226 6.23)48.47% (-6.228 -6.23)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.92% (-2.171 -2.17)28.08% (2.17 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26% (-2.842 -2.84)63.74% (2.841 2.84)
Score Analysis
    Southport 48.17%
    Scarborough Athletic 28.2%
    Draw 23.62%
SouthportDrawScarborough Athletic
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.582 0.58)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.45% (0.875 0.88)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.913 0.91)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.931 0.93)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.398 0.4)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.616 0.62)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.566 0.57)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.321 0.32)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 48.17%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.64 -0.64)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.605 -0.61)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.868 -0.87)
0-1 @ 6.34% (-1.219 -1.22)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-1.078 -1.08)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.578 -0.58)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.594 -0.59)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.254 -0.25)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.2%