Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.