National League North | Gameweek 20
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Ath
1 - 3
Chester

R (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hall (50'), Caton (62'), Willoughby (90')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

Chester FC

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-2 Chester
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawChester FC
30.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)23.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)45.52% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.12% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.47% (0.019000000000005 0.02)40.52% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.09% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.9% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (0.025999999999996 0.03)60.16% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.97%49.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 30.9%
    Chester FC 45.52%
    Draw 23.57%
Scarborough AthleticDrawChester FC
2-1 @ 7.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.9%
1-1 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.24%
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 45.52%