Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.