National League North | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands
Alfreton Town

Buxton
0 - 0
Alfreton

FT
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Buxton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Buxton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawAlfreton Town
53.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)22.49% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 52.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.93% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.28% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.67% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)36.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)73.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 53.46%
    Alfreton Town 22.49%
    Draw 24.02%
BuxtonDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 53.46%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.49%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Alfreton
3-0
Buxton
Riley (45'), Thewlis (62'), Rhead (74')