National League North | Gameweek 23
Dec 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
3 - 0
Peterborough Sports

De Girolamo (14' pen.), McKay (65'), Osborne (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Peterborough Sports.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Buxton 2-3 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-1 Peterborough Sports
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawPeterborough Sports
43.75% (0.012 0.01)26.04% (0.0040000000000013 0)30.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.22% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)51.78% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.45% (-0.029 -0.03)73.54% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)23.54% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)57.59% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)31.47% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)67.86% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 43.75%
    Peterborough Sports 30.2%
    Draw 26.04%
BuxtonDrawPeterborough Sports
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 43.75%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.2%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Peterborough Sports
1-1
Buxton
Jarvis (33' pen.)
Barker (48')
Gilchrist (41')
rhs 2.0


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