National League North | Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
0 - 2
Telford

FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Brien (73'), Salmon (90+4')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and AFC Telford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 2-2 Chorley
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League North

AFC Telford United

All competitions
Last Game: Telford 1-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawAFC Telford United
54.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.31% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)21.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.14% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.040999999999997 0.04)51.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.035 0.04)72.91% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.016999999999996 0.02)18.82% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (0.028000000000006 0.03)50.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.76% (0.030000000000001 0.03)38.24% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (0.027000000000001 0.03)75% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 54.01%
    AFC Telford United 21.67%
    Draw 24.3%
BuxtonDrawAFC Telford United
1-0 @ 12.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 54.01%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.33%
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 21.67%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Telford
1-1
Buxton
Daniels (44')
Newton (43')