Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.