National League North | Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
New Bucks Head Ground

Telford
2 - 1
Banbury

Burroughs (31'), Gibson (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rasulo (68')
Coverage of the National League North clash between AFC Telford United and Banbury United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-0 Telford
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 3-0 Chorley
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 19.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
AFC Telford UnitedDrawBanbury United
19.35% (1.03 1.03)21.88% (0.608 0.61)58.77% (-1.637 -1.64)
Both teams to score 54.26% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (-1.13 -1.13)43.81% (1.131 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (-1.115 -1.12)66.2% (1.116 1.12)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52% (0.456 0.46)36.48% (-0.45500000000001 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73% (0.458 0.46)73.26% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)
Banbury United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (-0.88000000000001 -0.88)14.58% (0.881 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.35% (-1.721 -1.72)42.65% (1.721 1.72)
Score Analysis
    AFC Telford United 19.35%
    Banbury United 58.77%
    Draw 21.88%
AFC Telford UnitedDrawBanbury United
1-0 @ 5.36% (0.323 0.32)
2-1 @ 5.21% (0.218 0.22)
2-0 @ 2.7% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.35%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.258 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.86% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 6.38% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-3 @ 6.33% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-4 @ 3.05% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.17% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 58.77%

rhs 2.0


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