National League North | Gameweek 13
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
New Bucks Head Ground

Telford
1 - 2
Kidderminster

Daniels (23' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brown (84'), Freemantle (86')
Coverage of the National League North clash between AFC Telford United and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telford 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 3-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
AFC Telford UnitedDrawKidderminster Harriers
25.97% (-2.916 -2.92)25.57% (-0.575 -0.57)48.46% (3.486 3.49)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (0.519 0.52)52.24% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05% (0.444 0.44)73.94% (-0.449 -0.45)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (-2.039 -2.04)34.98% (2.033 2.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (-2.2 -2.2)71.72% (2.197 2.2)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (1.805 1.81)21.57% (-1.811 -1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (2.701 2.7)54.66% (-2.706 -2.71)
Score Analysis
    AFC Telford United 25.97%
    Kidderminster Harriers 48.45%
    Draw 25.56%
AFC Telford UnitedDrawKidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.627 -0.63)
2-1 @ 6.38% (-0.516 -0.52)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.586 -0.59)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.319 -0.32)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.3 -0.3)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 11.57% (0.38 0.38)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.742 0.74)
1-3 @ 4.77% (0.392 0.39)
0-3 @ 4.54% (0.598 0.6)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.074 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.239 0.24)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.308 0.31)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 48.45%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Mar 9, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 21, 2020 3pm