National League North | Gameweek 17
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Throstle Nest

Farsley Celtic
3 - 1
Banbury

Butroid (15'), Spencer (26'), Ubaezuonu (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Spasov (78')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Farsley Celtic and Banbury United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Farsley Celtic

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 4-3 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North

Banbury United

All competitions
Last Game: Kettering 0-0 Banbury
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Farsley CelticDrawBanbury United
18.32% (0.015999999999998 0.02)21.7% (0.014000000000003 0.01)59.99% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)44.58% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)66.95% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95%38.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18%74.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Banbury United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)14.45% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.61% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)42.4% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Farsley Celtic 18.32%
    Banbury United 59.97%
    Draw 21.69%
Farsley CelticDrawBanbury United
1-0 @ 5.31% (0.008 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.57% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 18.32%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 10.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-3 @ 6.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 6.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 59.97%

rhs 2.0


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