AFC Fylde
National League North | Gameweek 22
Jan 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
1 - 0
Buxton

Bird (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Fylde and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-2 Telford
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fylde in this match.

Result
FyldeDrawBuxton
56.68% (0.509 0.51)22.54% (-0.259 -0.26)20.77% (-0.254 -0.25)
Both teams to score 54.39% (0.471 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.807 0.81)44.76% (-0.811 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.776 0.78)67.12% (-0.77800000000001 -0.78)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41% (0.453 0.45)15.58% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (0.838 0.84)44.55% (-0.84 -0.84)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (0.211 0.21)35.57% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (0.22 0.22)72.33% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Fylde 56.68%
    Buxton 20.77%
    Draw 22.54%
FyldeDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 10.3% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.93% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.094 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.075 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.051 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 56.68%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.54%
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 20.77%

rhs 2.0


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