National League North Gameweek 17
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Tyrone Barnett 79' goal
  • Daniel Jarvis 90'+4' goal

Hereford United vs Southport - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Farsley Celtic 1 - 0 Hereford
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Tyrone Barnett

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Chorley 1 - 2 Southport
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jordan Archer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result

Hereford United 47.77% (+1.58)
Draw 25.84% (-0.55)
Southport 26.39% (-1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.53% (+0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.98% (+1.44)
Under 2.5 53.02% (-1.45)
Over 3.5 25.39% (+1.22)
Under 3.5 74.61% (-1.22)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 77.8% (+1.34)
Under 0.5 22.2% (-1.34)
Over 1.5 44.39% (+1.98)
Under 1.5 55.61% (-1.98)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 64.94% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 35.05% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 28.2% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 71.8% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Hereford United 47.77%
Draw 25.83%
Southport 26.39%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 11.71% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.24% (+0.20)
2-0 @ 8.81% (+0.20)
3-1 @ 4.64% (+0.28)
3-0 @ 4.42% (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.43% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 1.75% (+0.17)
4-0 @ 1.66% (+0.17)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 47.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 4.84% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.83%
Southport
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.50)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.27)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 26.39%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 29
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Charlie Oliver 51'
National League North Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Archer 52' goal
  • Connor Woods 85' goal
National League North Gameweek 24
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 1
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Haig Avenue