National League North | Gameweek 27
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road

Peterborough Sports
2 - 1
Southport

Sembie-Ferris (42', 72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Doyle (88')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough Sports 1-2 Kettering
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-1 Curzon Ashton
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Southport had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawSouthport
40.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)32.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.37% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)54.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)76.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)26.71% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03% (-0.012 -0.01)61.97% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)31.27% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.38% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)67.62% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 40.25%
    Southport 32.73%
    Draw 27%
Peterborough SportsDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.35% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.73%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm