National League North | Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium

Gloucester City
2 - 0
Hereford

McHale (10'), Dada (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gloucester City

All competitions
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawHereford United
35.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.25%39.16% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 56.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)46.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)69.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)60.51% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)57.79%
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 35.59%
    Hereford United 39.16%
    Draw 25.25%
Gloucester CityDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.59%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 39.16%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Hereford
1-3
Gloucester City
Amadi-Holloway (17')
McClure (22'), Mitford (49', 83')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gloucester City
1-0
Hereford
Thompson (71')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Hereford
2-1
Gloucester City
Gordon (22'), Owen-Evans (45+1')
Green (74')
Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gloucester City
P-P
Hereford
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
Hereford
0-1
Gloucester City

Owen-Evans (73')
McClure (13')
Asante (77')