Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.