National League North | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
1 - 1
Hereford

Morgan-Smith (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Andoh (60')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Kidderminster
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Kidderminster
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 17.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawHereford United
59.59% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)22.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.7% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)48.59% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (-0.035 -0.04)70.71% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.07% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)15.93% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)45.19% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.12% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)40.88% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55% (-0.032 -0.03)77.46% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 59.58%
    Hereford United 17.91%
    Draw 22.5%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 11.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 59.58%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 17.91%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Hereford
0-1
Kidderminster
Bearne (24')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Kidderminster
3-0
Hereford
Austin (28'), Morgan-Smith (32', 36')

Pearce (24')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Hereford
2-0
Kidderminster
Gordon (40'), Owen-Evans (49')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Kidderminster
1-1
Hereford
Hemmings (12' pen.)
John-Lewis (66')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Hereford
3-1
Kidderminster
McQuilkin (17'), Camwell (49'), John-Lewis (80')
Maxwell (7')
Morgan-Smith (27')