Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 44%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spennymoor Town in this match.