National League North | Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
1 - 0
Hereford

Blackett (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Darlington 3-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 2-3 Banbury
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 44%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spennymoor Town in this match.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawHereford United
44% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)26.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)29.93% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.2% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.04% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)51.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.71% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)23.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)57.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (0.030000000000001 0.03)31.76% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81% (0.033999999999999 0.03)68.19% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 44%
    Hereford United 29.93%
    Draw 26.06%
Spennymoor TownDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 44%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.93%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Hereford
3-3
Spennymoor
Ramshaw (14' og.), Barnett (45+1' pen., 49' pen.)
Thewlis (23', 34'), Anderson (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Spennymoor
1-0
Hereford
Thewlis (68')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Hereford
0-2
Spennymoor
Taylor (24', 41')
Apr 17, 2021 3pm
Hereford
0-0
Spennymoor
Mar 9, 2021 7.45pm
Spennymoor
0-0
Hereford