Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.