Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 66%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chester FC in this match.