Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.