Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.