Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Darlington
45.24% ( -0.13)	25.12%	29.64% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 55.08% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.85% (

0.06)

48.14% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.7% (

0.06)

70.3% (

-0.06)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

-0.03)

21.3% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.76% (

-0.05)

54.24% (

0.05)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99% (

0.13)

30.01% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87% (

0.15)

66.13% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 45.24%

Darlington 29.64%

Draw 25.11%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Darlington
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.24%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.64%