National League North Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Impact Arena
  • Matt Rhead 45' goal
  • Yusifu Ceesay 72' goal
  • goal Jacob Hazel 5'
  • goal Kaine Felix 17'

Alfreton Town vs Darlington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
Curzon Ashton 0 - 1 Alfreton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matt Rhead

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
Darlington 0 - 0 Kidderminster
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Jacob Hazel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 45.24% (-0.13)
Draw 25.12%
Darlington 29.64% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.08% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.85% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 48.14% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 29.7% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 70.3% (-0.06)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.7% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.3% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 45.76% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 54.24% (+0.06)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 69.99% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 30.01% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 33.87% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 66.13% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 45.24%
Draw 25.11%
Darlington 29.64%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.54% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.11%
Darlington
0-1 @ 7.69% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.16% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.63% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.87% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.22% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.64%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 18
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Joe Leesley 22' goal
  • Jacob Hazel 25' goal
  • Kaine Felix 90'+12' goal
  • goal Jake Lawlor 85' (OG)
National League North Gameweek 36
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Will Hatfield 59' goal
  • Will Hatfield 84' goal
  • goal Adam Lund 27'
  • goal Tom Allan 36'
  • goal Dayle Southwell 52'
National League North Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 10
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Erico Sousa 11'
  • goal Adam Campbell 83'