National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Phillips 66 Community Stadium

Leamington
2 - 1
Darlington

Mooney (84'), Lane (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hazel (72')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Leamington FC and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leamington 0-1 Buxton
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-1 Darlington
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Leamington FCDrawDarlington
29.24% (2.188 2.19)25.07% (0.456 0.46)45.69% (-2.646 -2.65)
Both teams to score 54.99% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85% (-0.612 -0.61)48.15% (0.611 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (-0.564 -0.56)70.31% (0.563 0.56)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (1.307 1.31)30.3% (-1.308 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.52% (1.534 1.53)66.48% (-1.536 -1.54)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (-1.381 -1.38)21.1% (1.38 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (-2.195 -2.2)53.93% (2.193 2.19)
Score Analysis
    Leamington FC 29.24%
    Darlington 45.7%
    Draw 25.06%
Leamington FCDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.454 0.45)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.379 0.38)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.423 0.42)
3-1 @ 2.82% (0.245 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.227 0.23)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 9.95% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.74% (-0.476 -0.48)
1-3 @ 4.79% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-3 @ 4.01% (-0.432 -0.43)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.7%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Darlington
1-1
Leamington
Lawlor (64')
Hedley (27' og.)
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Darlington
1-1
Leamington
Santos (18')
Turner (29')
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm