Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.