National League North Gameweek 17
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jordan Thewlis 2' goal
  • goal Tom Peers 31'
  • goal Jimmy Spencer 78'

Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Alfreton 3 - 1 Boston
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matt Rhead

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Fylde 3 - 1 Curzon Ashton
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Tom Peers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 57.92% (+5.65)
Draw 23.31% (-2.08)
Curzon Ashton 18.78% (-3.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.79% (+0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.39% (+3.90)
Under 2.5 50.61% (-3.90)
Over 3.5 27.48% (+3.35)
Under 3.5 72.53% (-3.34)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 82.78% (+3.66)
Under 0.5 17.22% (-3.66)
Over 1.5 52.49% (+6.07)
Under 1.5 47.51% (-6.07)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5 58.93% (-1.54)
Under 0.5 41.07% (+1.55)
Over 1.5 22.39% (-1.40)
Under 1.5 77.62% (+1.41)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 57.91%
Draw 23.31%
Curzon Ashton 18.78%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.43% (-0.50)
2-0 @ 10.94% (+0.83)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.34)
3-0 @ 6.42% (+1.13)
3-1 @ 5.71% (+0.81)
4-0 @ 2.82% (+0.75)
3-2 @ 2.54% (+0.27)
4-1 @ 2.51% (+0.59)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-88.09)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 57.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.92)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-1.18)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.31%
Curzon Ashton
0-1 @ 6.29% (-1.37)
1-2 @ 4.93% (-0.65)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.76)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 18.78%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 29
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Matt Rhead 15' goal
  • Lewis Salmon 29' goal
  • Dominic Smith 44' goal
  • Matt Rhead 79' goal
  • goal Tom Peers 42'
  • goal Dale Whitham 68'
National League North Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Craig Hobson 77' goal
  • goal Bailey Hobson 1'
  • goal Antwoine Hackford 46'
National League North Gameweek 24
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 1
Oct 5, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tameside Stadium
  • Dominic Knowles 38' goal
  • goal James Jones 45'
  • redcard Josh Clackstone 90'+1'