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National League North | Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
Alfreton Town

Chester
1 - 1
Alfreton

Dudley (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Southwell (39')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 1-1 Chester
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Kettering
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawAlfreton Town
54.37% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22) 24.74% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 20.89% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 47.82% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (-0.129 -0.13)53.59% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91% (-0.109 -0.11)75.09% (0.108 0.11)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (-0.139 -0.14)19.66% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)51.63% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.52% (0.079000000000001 0.08)40.48% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.91% (0.072000000000003 0.07)77.09% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 54.36%
    Alfreton Town 20.89%
    Draw 24.74%
Chester FCDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 54.36%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.89%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Alfreton
2-2
Chester
Denton (28', 90+2')
Willoughby (16'), Lynch (23')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Chester
3-2
Alfreton
Hardy (30'), Weeks (81'), Cowan (90+2')
Livesey (72')
Rhead (80', 88')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Chester
3-0
Alfreton
Elliott (20' pen.), Morgan (62'), Dudley (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton20133429111842
2Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe21107435152037
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster20114531161537
4King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2111462619737
5Buxton21112834241035
6Chorley2110563025535
7Alfreton TownAlfreton209742519634
8Hereford UnitedHereford2096530191133
9Brackley Town1910362316733
10Chester FCChester209562521432
11South Shields22102103735232
12Spennymoor TownSpennymoor217953124730
13Darlington217952521430
14Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath207762423128
15Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports217682528-327
16SouthportSouthport217682531-627
17Leamington FCLeamington206592322123
18Oxford CityOxford City215793138-722
19Warrington Town224992029-921
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2162132138-1720
21Marine AFC2146111226-1418
22RadcliffeRadcliffe2046102339-1618
23Needham Market2145121434-2017
24Rushall Olympic2133151844-2612


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