Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.