National League North
Gameweek
28
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Chorley vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result
Chorley
63.77%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
21.26%
▲
(+0.05)
Alfreton Town
14.97%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
47.32%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.49%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
48.51%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
29.36%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
70.64%
▲
(+0.10)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5
85.46%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
14.54%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
57.42%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
42.58%
▲
(+0.13)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5
55.37%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
44.63%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
19.36%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
80.63%
Score analysis
Chorley
63.76%
Draw
21.26%
Alfreton Town
14.97%
Chorley
1-0
@
12.51%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 12.06%
2-1 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 63.76%
2-0 @ 12.06%
2-1 @ 9.73% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 63.76%
Draw
1-1
@
10.09%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.26%
0-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.26%
Alfreton Town
0-1
@
5.24%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 14.97%
1-2 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 14.97%
Jonathan Ustabasi
77'