National League North | Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium
Alfreton Town

Scarborough Ath
2 - 0
Alfreton

Coulson (79' pen.), Colville (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-2 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North

Alfreton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Telford
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scarborough Athletic would win this match.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawAlfreton Town
37.7% (0.106 0.11)25.14% (0.021999999999998 0.02)37.16% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.27% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.7% (-0.103 -0.1)46.3% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.41% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)68.59% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (0.010000000000005 0.01)24.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)24.47% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08% (-0.163 -0.16)58.92% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 37.7%
    Alfreton Town 37.16%
    Draw 25.14%
Scarborough AthleticDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 37.7%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 8.33% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 37.16%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Alfreton
2-0
Scarborough Ath
Smith (53'), Cantrill (60')