Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.