National League North | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Ath
1 - 2
Farsley Celtic

McGuckin (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Allan (13'), Parkin (36')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 1-1 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawFarsley Celtic
43.25% (-4.55 -4.55)23.6% (0.386 0.39)33.14% (4.162 4.16)
Both teams to score 62.06% (0.876 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.26% (0.189 0.19)39.74% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.91% (0.197 0.2)62.09% (-0.199 -0.2)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (-1.737 -1.74)18.71% (1.734 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92% (-2.994 -2.99)50.07% (2.992 2.99)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (2.652 2.65)23.66% (-2.652 -2.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24% (3.68 3.68)57.76% (-3.681 -3.68)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 43.25%
    Farsley Celtic 33.14%
    Draw 23.6%
Scarborough AthleticDrawFarsley Celtic
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.415 -0.42)
1-0 @ 7.42% (-0.501 -0.5)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.806 -0.81)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.536 -0.54)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.678 -0.68)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.36 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.385 -0.39)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 43.25%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.46% (0.199 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.648 0.65)
0-1 @ 6.38% (0.418 0.42)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.618 0.62)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.561 0.56)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.317 0.32)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.438 0.44)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.286 0.29)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.189 0.19)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.14%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Farsley Celtic
2-4
Scarborough Ath
Butler (46'), Clayton (75')
Weledji (12'), Jarvis (26'), Tear (53'), Colville (62')