National League North | Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
1 - 2
Spennymoor

Willoughby (77' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Blackett (12'), Taylor (65')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chester 1-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-0 Hereford
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawSpennymoor Town
45.46% (-1.08 -1.08)24.73% (-0.193 -0.19)29.81% (1.275 1.28)
Both teams to score 56.48% (1.461 1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64% (1.543 1.54)46.36% (-1.544 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (1.438 1.44)68.64% (-1.436 -1.44)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (0.161 0.16)20.47% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (0.256 0.26)52.93% (-0.255 -0.26)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (1.695 1.69)28.98% (-1.695 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (2.051 2.05)64.88% (-2.049 -2.05)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 45.46%
    Spennymoor Town 29.81%
    Draw 24.72%
Chester FCDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 9.41% (-0.579 -0.58)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.42 -0.42)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.46%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.396 -0.4)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.22 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.35% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.232 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.195 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.138 0.14)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.81%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Spennymoor
0-3
Chester

Lufudu (45')
Burke (20', 38'), Dudley (69')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Spennymoor
4-2
Chester
Gray (45+1' og.), Spokes (68'), Taylor (86', 90+2')
Stephenson (77'), Oyibo (84')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Oct 17, 2020 3pm