National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford United vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Hereford 2 - 0 Southport
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Tyrone Barnett

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Alfreton 1 - 2 Curzon Ashton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matt Rhead

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Hereford United 54.6% (-0.10)
Draw 24.41% (+0.05)
Alfreton Town 20.99% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.92% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.81% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 52.19% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 26.1% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 73.9% (+0.12)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 80.97% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 19.03% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 49.39% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 50.61% (+0.15)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 60.43% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 39.57% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 23.74% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 76.26% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Hereford United 54.59%
Draw 24.4%
Alfreton Town 20.99%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 12.49% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 54.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.53% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.4%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 6.98% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.24% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (+0.30)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 20.99%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Bailey Hobson 7' goal
  • goal Ryan McLean 24'
National League North Gameweek 35
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ryan Lloyd 80' goal
  • goal Bailey Hobson 20'
  • goal Yusifu Ceesay 45'+2'
National League North Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Bailey Hobson 3' goal
  • Rob Evans 42' goal
  • Elliott Reeves 79' goal
  • goal Miles Storey 40'
  • goal Miles Storey 62'
  • goal Luke Haines 90'+3'
National League North Gameweek 39
May 8, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 18
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm