Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.