Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
AFC Fylde

Alfreton
0 - 1
Fylde

FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Banbury
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 3-2 Darlington
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fylde in this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawFylde
28.33% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)27.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.21% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)57.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)78.68% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.16% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)72.94% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 28.33%
    Fylde 44.2%
    Draw 27.46%
Alfreton TownDrawFylde
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 6.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 28.33%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 9.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 12.67%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.88%
0-3 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 44.2%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Alfreton
1-1
Fylde
Hobson (55')
Walker (84')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Nov 3, 2020 7.45pm
Alfreton
1-1
Fylde
Reeves (64')
Burke (38')
Sampson (76')