Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
