National League North Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Mill Farm Stadium
  • Siyabonga Ligendza 32' goal
  • Luke Charman 50' goal
  • Joe Rowley 65' goal
  • goal Andrew Nelson 23'
  • goal Andrew Nelson 39'

Fylde vs Darlington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Buxton 2 - 2 Fylde
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Nick Haughton

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
Alfreton 2 - 2 Darlington
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Jacob Hazel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 56%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.

Result

Fylde 56% (-0.41)
Draw 21.8% (+0.22)
Darlington 22.2% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.05% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.41% (-0.78)
Under 2.5 39.58% (+0.78)
Over 3.5 38.07% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 61.93% (+0.81)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5 85.96% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 14.04% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 58.4% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 41.6% (+0.76)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 68.69% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 31.31% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 32.33% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 67.66% (+0.32)

Score analysis

Fylde 56%
Draw 21.8%
Darlington 22.2%
Fylde
2-1 @ 9.84% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.63% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 8.47% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.4% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.8%
Darlington
1-2 @ 5.82% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.1% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.96% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 22.2%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 19
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Jacob Hazel 26' goal
  • goal Tom Walker 36'
  • goal Nick Haughton 71'
National League North Gameweek 28
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nick Haughton 47' goal
  • goal Jake Lawlor 44'
  • goal Kevin Santos 68'
National League North Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luke Charman 30' goal
National League North Gameweek 24
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 1
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mill Farm Stadium
  • Nick Haughton 78' goal