Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 56%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.