Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.