Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Buxton
43.77% ( 0.48)	26.29% ( -0.09)	29.94% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 51.51% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.14% (

0.19)

52.86% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.52% (

0.16)

74.48% (

-0.16)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99% (

0.32)

24% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.74% (

0.46)

58.25% (

-0.46)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78% (

-0.19)

32.22% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29% (

-0.22)

68.71% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Chorley 43.77%

Buxton 29.94%

Draw 26.28%

Chorley	Draw	Buxton
1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.77%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.94%