Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
1 - 0
Telford

Smith (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and AFC Telford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-0 Chorley
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North

AFC Telford United

All competitions
Last Game: Telford 1-1 Southport
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawAFC Telford United
57.38% (-0.103 -0.1)24.07% (0.042000000000002 0.04)18.55% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.16% (-0.07 -0.07)53.84% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)75.31% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)18.6% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.11% (-0.11 -0.11)49.89% (0.113 0.11)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.79% (0.032000000000004 0.03)43.21% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.53% (0.026 0.03)79.47% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 57.36%
    AFC Telford United 18.55%
    Draw 24.07%
ChorleyDrawAFC Telford United
1-0 @ 13.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 57.36%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.04% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.76% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.83% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 18.55%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Telford
1-0
Chorley
Green (45')

Sampson (80')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Chorley
1-0
Telford
Shenton (28')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Telford
3-0
Chorley
Streete (60'), Durrell (71'), Byrne (90+6')
Oswell (36')
Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
Chorley
P-P
Telford
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
Telford
0-1
Chorley
Newby (69')