National League North | Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley1 - 0Telford
Smith (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and AFC Telford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-0 Chorley
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 1-1 Southport
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.
Result | ||
Chorley | Draw | AFC Telford United |
57.38% ( -0.1) | 24.07% ( 0.04) | 18.55% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 46.22% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.16% ( -0.07) | 53.84% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.69% ( -0.06) | 75.31% ( 0.06) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.4% ( -0.06) | 18.6% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.11% ( -0.11) | 49.89% ( 0.11) |
AFC Telford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.79% ( 0.03) | 43.21% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.53% ( 0.03) | 79.47% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chorley 57.36%
AFC Telford United 18.55%
Draw 24.07%
Chorley | Draw | AFC Telford United |
1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 18.55% |
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Chorley
1-0
Telford
Shenton (28')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
Telford
0-1
Chorley
Newby (69')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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