National League North Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Harvey Smith 45'+3' goal

Chorley vs AFC Telford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Bradford Park Av 0 - 0 Chorley
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Connor Hall

AFC Telford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Telford 1 - 1 Southport
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Montel Gibson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chorley in this match.

Result

Chorley 57.38% (-0.11)
Draw 24.07% (+0.05)
AFC Telford United 18.55% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.22% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.16% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.84% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 24.69% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 75.31% (+0.07)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 81.4% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 18.6% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 50.11% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 49.89% (+0.12)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5 56.79% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 43.21% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 20.53% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 79.47% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Chorley 57.36%
Draw 24.07%
AFC Telford United 18.55%
Chorley
1-0 @ 13.51% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 57.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.04% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.07%
AFC Telford United
0-1 @ 6.74% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.76% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 18.55%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT New Bucks Head Ground
  • Devarn Green 45' goal
  • redcard Jack Sampson 80'
National League North Gameweek 39
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ollie Shenton 28' goal
National League North Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jason Oswell 36' redcard
  • Theo Streete 60' goal
  • Elliott Durrell 71' goal
  • Jack Byrne 90'+6' goal
National League North Gameweek 29
Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
National League North Gameweek 9
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Elliot Newby 69'