National League North | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Chorley

Brackley Town
1 - 1
Chorley

Amantchi (34' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hall (51')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-2 Chorley
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawChorley
46.25% (0.030999999999999 0.03)27.65% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)26.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 45.21% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.22% (0.091999999999999 0.09)59.78% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.93% (0.068999999999999 0.07)80.07% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (0.058000000000007 0.06)25.88% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (0.078000000000003 0.08)60.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (0.049999999999997 0.05)39.01% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (0.044999999999998 0.04)75.73% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 46.24%
    Chorley 26.1%
    Draw 27.64%
Brackley TownDrawChorley
1-0 @ 13.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 46.24%
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 26.1%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Chorley
0-0
Brackley Town
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Brackley Town
0-0
Chorley
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Chorley
0-1
Brackley Town
Yusuf (85')
May 29, 2021 3pm
Chorley
P-P
Brackley Town
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Brackley Town
2-1
Chorley
Armson (59'), York (62')
Newby (12')