National League North | Gameweek 30

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Brackley Town
4 - 0
Gloucester City

Armson (5'), Rooney (28'), Matwasa (31'), Amantchi (87')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chester
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Gloucester City

All competitions

Last Game: Gloucester City 2-2 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 62.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley Town	Draw	Gloucester City
62.7% ( -0.08)	22.52% ( 0.07)	14.78% ( 0)

Both teams to score 43.27% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.24% (

-0.26)

53.75% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.76% (

-0.22)

75.23% (

0.21)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33% (

-0.12)

16.66% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.47% (

-0.21)

46.52% (

0.2)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.92% (

-0.15)

48.07% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.71% (

-0.11)

83.28% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Brackley Town 62.69%

Gloucester City 14.78%

Draw 22.52%

Brackley Town	Draw	Gloucester City
1-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 62.69%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.52%	0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 14.78%