Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 62.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.