National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road

P'boro Sports
3 - 0
Leamington

Fryatt (35'), Crawford (61'), Bazeley (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Leamington FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough Sports

All competitions
Last Game: Chester 0-1 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League North

Leamington FC

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-1 Leamington
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawLeamington FC
39.59% (-1.321 -1.32)26.83% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)33.59% (1.382 1.38)
Both teams to score 51.17% (0.555 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (0.54 0.54)53.91% (-0.538 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (0.452 0.45)75.36% (-0.44999999999999 -0.45)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (-0.467 -0.47)26.65% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11% (-0.621 -0.62)61.89% (0.623 0.62)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (1.195 1.2)30.24% (-1.193 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (1.405 1.41)66.41% (-1.403 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 39.58%
    Leamington FC 33.59%
    Draw 26.82%
Peterborough SportsDrawLeamington FC
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.344 -0.34)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.236 0.24)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.19 0.19)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.172 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.59%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Leamington
0-2
P'boro Sports
McCammon (44', 54')