Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.