National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
0 - 2
Curzon Ashton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Campbell (4'), Walker (80' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 4-3 Gloucester City
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
56.91% (0.052 0.05)23.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)19.43% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.81% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)51.14% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-0.038 -0.04)72.99% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (0.0039999999999907 0)17.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52% (0.0049999999999955 0)48.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)40.64% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76% (-0.07 -0.07)77.23% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 56.89%
    Curzon Ashton 19.43%
    Draw 23.66%
Hereford UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 12.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.43%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Curzon Ashton
1-3
Hereford
Peers (77')
Barnett (6', 65'), McLean (74')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Curzon Ashton
3-0
Hereford
Peers (49'), Mahon (71'), Cooke (90+5')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Hereford
2-2
Curzon Ashton
Gordon (9'), Owen-Evans (28')
Curran (2'), Hobson (70')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Curzon Ashton
P-P
Hereford
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Hereford
P-P
Curzon Ashton