National League North | Gameweek 32

Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
4 - 3
Gloucester City

Spencer (8'), Campbell (47'), Peers (70', 73')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Obadeyi (16' pen.), Phillips (28'), McHale (88')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions

Last Game: Alfreton 1-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Gloucester City

All competitions

Last Game: Gloucester City 5-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon Ashton	Draw	Gloucester City
58.96% ( 0.07)	22.31% ( 0.01)	18.73% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 51.77% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.42% (

-0.16)

46.58% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.15% (

-0.15)

68.85% (

0.14)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.55% (

-0.03)

15.45% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.7% (

-0.05)

44.3% (

0.05)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.23% (

-0.18)

38.77% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.5% (

-0.17)

75.5% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Curzon Ashton 58.95%

Gloucester City 18.73%

Draw 22.3%

Curzon Ashton	Draw	Gloucester City
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.95%	1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.3%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 18.73%