National League North | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Curzon Ashton4 - 3Gloucester City
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Gloucester City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alfreton 1-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Gloucester City 5-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
47
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Gloucester City |
58.96% ( 0.07) | 22.31% ( 0.01) | 18.73% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.42% ( -0.16) | 46.58% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( -0.15) | 68.85% ( 0.14) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% ( -0.03) | 15.45% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.7% ( -0.05) | 44.3% ( 0.05) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.23% ( -0.18) | 38.77% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.5% ( -0.17) | 75.5% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
Curzon Ashton 58.95%
Gloucester City 18.73%
Draw 22.3%
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.95% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 18.73% |
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
