National League North | Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road
Bradford Park Avenue

P'boro Sports
1 - 0
Bradford Park Av

Nicholson (1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Bradford Park Avenue.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough Sports

All competitions
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-2 Gloucester City
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North

Bradford Park Avenue

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-0 Scarborough Ath
Monday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterborough Sports in this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawBradford Park Avenue
55.46% (-0.523 -0.52)23.33% (0.366 0.37)21.21% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.49% (-0.943 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (-1.363 -1.36)47.6% (1.367 1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (-1.273 -1.27)69.8% (1.276 1.28)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.67100000000001 -0.67)17.01% (0.674 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-1.204 -1.2)47.14% (1.207 1.21)
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.25% (-0.616 -0.62)36.75% (0.619 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.46% (-0.624 -0.62)73.54% (0.628 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 55.46%
    Bradford Park Avenue 21.21%
    Draw 23.33%
Peterborough SportsDrawBradford Park Avenue
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 55.46%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.249 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 21.21%

Head to Head
Nov 7, 2022 7.45pm
Bradford Park Av
1-2
P'boro Sports
Richman (24')
Gash (53'), Lawler (64' pen.)