National League North Gameweek 24
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Dwayne Riley 2' goal
  • Matt Rhead 13' goal
  • Dominic Smith 28' goal
  • goal Paul Blackett 23'
  • goal Paul Blackett 69'

Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
Kidderminster 0 - 0 Alfreton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matt Rhead

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
Spennymoor 1 - 1 Brackley Town
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Glen Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result

Alfreton Town 41.61%
Draw 25.68%
Spennymoor Town 32.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.62%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.63%
Under 2.5 49.36%
Over 3.5 28.59%
Under 3.5 71.41%
Over 4.5 13.7%
Under 4.5 86.29%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.46%
Under 0.5 23.53%
Over 1.5 42.42%
Under 1.5 57.58%

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.44%
Under 0.5 28.56%
Over 1.5 35.65%
Under 1.5 64.35%

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 41.61%
Draw 25.67%
Spennymoor Town 32.71%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 41.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.72%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
Spennymoor Town
0-1 @ 8.42%
1-2 @ 7.64%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 32.71%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Brewery Field
  • redcard Conor Branson 23'
National League North Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Conor Branson 40' goal
  • Ritchie Sutton 43' goal
  • Matt Rhead 58' goal
  • goal Frank Mulhern 19'
  • goal Glen Taylor 67'
National League North Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Yusifu Ceesay 41'
  • goal Bailey Hobson 69'
National League North Gameweek 23
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 2
Oct 10, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Elliott Reeves 44' goal
  • goal Glen Taylor 30'