Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Spennymoor Town	Draw	Chorley
35.28% ( 1.2)	26.07% ( -0.19)	38.65% ( -1.01)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.46% (

0.97)

50.53% (

-0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.54% (

0.85)

72.45% (

-0.85)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.47% (

1.21)

27.53% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.96% (

1.53)

63.04% (

-1.53)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4% (

-0.1)

25.6% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.51% (

-0.14)

60.48% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Spennymoor Town 35.28%

Chorley 38.65%

Draw 26.06%

Spennymoor Town	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.28%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.65%