Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 60.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.