Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 29
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
2 - 3
Boston

Smith (22'), Hall (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wright (43', 51'), Chadwick (53')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chorley 2-2 Buxton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 0-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 60.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawBoston United
60.92% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)21.71% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)17.37% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.13% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (0.028999999999996 0.03)46.14% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (0.026999999999997 0.03)68.44% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)14.67% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)42.82% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.92% (0.059999999999995 0.06)40.08% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.28% (0.056000000000001 0.06)76.72% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 60.91%
    Boston United 17.37%
    Draw 21.7%
ChorleyDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.34%
4-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 60.91%
1-1 @ 10.31%
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.37%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Boston
1-4
Chorley
Crawford (80')
Ustabasi (21', 71'), Hall (24'), Whitehouse (74')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Chorley
2-1
Boston
Ustabasi (28', 67')
Abbott (54')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Boston
2-2
Chorley
Green (35'), Wright (90+3')
Tomlinson (53' pen.), Cardwell (67')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Boston
0-2
Chorley
Hall (17' pen.), Leather (34')