Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.